Economy Recap

So where do we go from here? The past few years have been rough for the US economy to say the least, but with the recent shale boom and increased production in natural gas, there might be hope for a bright US economic future.

 

As I mentioned last week in my blog, Pushing the Economy Forward, the economy needs to get back on its feet and I believe that natural gas in the manufacturing industry will help make this a reality. The US has the largest manufacturing sector in the world and growth in domestic manufacturing has a multiplier effect on the broader state of our economy. More production in this sector alone can lead to new capital investments, help create more jobs, and increase the US exports of value added products; the GDP of the US will automatically see improvements and therefore get the ball rolling on the economy.

 

Increasing production in the manufacturing sector using natural gas should not be a problem considering the US has the lowest price in the world. Since 2005, the production of natural gas in the states has increased more than 25% and is expected to continue increasing into the later years. As of right now the US is producing more natural gas than the public is consuming, so what should we do with the excess amount of natural gas?

 

Exporting natural gas from the states has been a controversy ever since we started to accumulate excess amounts of it. Although there are certain groups fighting against the exportation of natural gas, this new era of sustainable energy has just begun, and in due time the US will become a major exporter of this “hot” commodity.

 

This new wave of energy has brought new light into the economy. Companies in several sectors of the economy, such as manufacturing, oil and gas, chemical, and many more, are now becoming more competitive than they have been in recent years. Competition is what makes an economy thrive and keeps them going.

 

If the excitement about natural gas continues, which it will, it will create a snow ball effect not only on a domestic economic level but on a global level as well. Countries who invest in this new sustainable energy will also see improvements in their domestic sectors as well as its overall economy. And when the power house economies thrive, it pushes other economies to thrive as well.

 

What do you know, there may be hope for our futures after all!

Pushing the Economy Forward

The recent discoveries of natural gas reserves in the US is helping to expand the US economy and are also projected to continue driving this growth into the future. The fact of the matter is natural gas in the North American region is abundant and affordable which in turn significantly drives up job creation and again our economic growth.

The shale boom has made American factories more competitive than recent years and has sparked a domestic manufacturing renaissance, leading to capital investment, new high-wage manufacturing jobs, and an increase in US exports of added value product.

The U.S. is the world’s largest manufacturing economy, and growth in domestic manufacturing has a multiplier effect on the broader state of the economy.

Here are several examples of how the multiplier effect works:

First, manufacturing creates more jobs outside its own sector than any other industry. For every one manufacturing job, there are five additional domestic jobs. Hence, creating more jobs within the manufacturing industry will create five times more domestic jobs which will stimulate economic growth.

Second, manufacturing also creates value-added products for export. Meaning instead of exporting simple raw materials, every dollar invested in domestic manufacturing creates a portion of income from finished products.

Lastly, manufacturing drives innovation. Manufacturing companies are starting to realize it is more efficient to conduct research and development near or on their factory floors than anywhere else. The countries who investment more in these manufacturing sectors have a head start in the development of next generation products.

Now is the time when our policy makers have an opportunity to grow America’s vital manufacturing sector through a sensible, all-encompassing natural gas policy that will allow for the manufacturing companies to use natural gas for production and in turn push the economy forward.

Manufacturing is very sensitive to natural gas, which powers many of its operations and supplies the raw components of thousands of essential products. When the price of natural gas is high, companies cannot afford to operate and thus are not as efficient as a company who can operate with natural gas at a lower cost. This is why America is a manufacturing company’s dream place to operate; the US offers some of the lowest prices on natural gas out of any country. As the demand for natural gas in the US continues to rise, it pushes the economy to new heights and will continue to push the economy forward into future years.

LNG, What’s the big deal?

LNG is the key piece in making natural gas an internationally traded commodity, without it, supply and demand of the resource would be far out of balance.  Beyond this, LNG is important in the growing natural gas industry because it allows for the extraction from tough to reach reserves; it can be shipped efficiently and safely, and a has potentially great upside for exporting countries.

The largest benefit of LNG is that it opens up natural gas to world trade.  Prior to the technology which allows us to transform natural gas into its liquid state, natural gas could only be distributed regionally through gas pipelines.  This not only restricted the trade of natural gas, it also restricted the markets ability to grow.  For instance, Australia is currently producing two times more gas than what it consumes.  If it were to have no way to ship this excess over seas, the country would have no incentive to produce its maximum capacity of natural gas and their abundant supply would be a waste since it can’t get to countries who need the energy.

Top 6 exporters of LNG in 2011:

Thankfully however, we now have the ability to super cool natural gas to -162 degrees C, at which point the gas turns into its liquid state. Once in its liquid state, natural gas is 1/600 that of its gaseous volume, meaning that we can transport natural gas on tankers at and economic cost.

With the ability to ship LNG globally comes the ability to import and export natural gas.  Thus, countries such as Qatar and Australia have incentive to produce as much LNG as possible for export.  This benefits both the exporting countries economically and the importing countries because they now have the supply to meet their consumption, The Economist.

While LNG is the key to the international trade of natural gas, it is also important because we now have the ability to tap large natural gas reserves that were once considered inaccessible.  Prior to LNG, we were unable to tap any reserves that were much more than a few miles off any coast because the amount of pipeline that had to be laid under the ocean was unfeasible.  With LNG and LNG specific tankers, we are now able to pump what is extracted from these reserves directly into these ships for super cooling and transport.

By pumping extracted natural gas at sea directly onto the ships, not only are time and money being saved but the detrimental impact on the environment is being reduced.  When LNG is stored, it is put under no pressure and therefore is not explosive.  The ships that transport LNG are some of the most high tech on the sea with double hulls and massive amounts of insulation to prevent any sort of leak.  Even though a spill is not of great fear considering the quality of these ships, the impacts of and LNG spill would be minimal in that LNG is insoluble in water and would all evaporate in a matter of minutes.

The inside membrane of a LNG tanker, Chevron:

LNG has opened the world to natural gas trade providing import opportunities for countries lacking the resource, and export opportunities for countries fortunate enough to have excess.  It has allowed for the market to expand to new heights and with continued exploration by the worlds gas companies, the outlook is only bright for LNG.

Natural Gas Reserves Around the World Bridging Future and Current Energy Sources

As the info-graphic shows there is a substantial amount of Natural Gas reserves in the world today. As extraction techniques continue to improve and ground penetrating radar allows us to discover new reserves of Natural Gas we see an energy that has many applications and availability for the future.

TEDx had a speaker that provided some evidence of how the further development can impact America. We neither support nor dispute what the presenter has said, but believe it is a lecture worth hearing to further develop the linkage of Natural Gas as a future energy source.

In order for Natural Gas to make a true impact on the world countries must develop their exporting abilities.When exports were plotted on the graph they were so minuscule that they did not even appear compared to their reserves.  This shows how small the interconnection of Natural Gas supplies and demands between world economies. If there is to be a switch over to Natural Gas as a global energy source countries must begin exporting and importing different types of Natural Gas between each other.

This could be of particular benefit to Russia and its economy. As shown in the graph Russia by far has the largest amount of Natural Gas reserves in the world. If it were to harness that immense resource, its exports alone could power the world for  many years.

In comparison the United States has already taken steps towards becoming a net exporter of natural gas. It has begun converting current facilities made for Natural Gas imports and reforming them to be able to fill shipping transports and export Natural Gas.

China has seen the huge benefit Natural Gas provides to the countries that are able to develop it and has begun developing its own Natural Gas reserves. However, China faces many problems in the implementation of its extraction process. Firstly, China has a very different terrain compared to the United States. This difference in terrain has caused a huge a delay in the technology transfer of  the current facking technology developed in America.

In order for the Chinese to access their current reserves of Natural Gas they will need to develop a system allowing them to extract their reserves in an efficient manner and be cost sustaining.

Many United States companies have descended on China forming partnerships to help develop the Chinese’s Natural Gas Reserves. Companies like RMI have begun major developments in China. Hopping that the development of Natural Gas and renewables will help address the growing problems of contamination, pollution and climate change.

As this resource develops further we will see huge economies of scale continue to lower the costs of Natural Gas. Additionally, as renewable energy sources begin to take over the traditional role of fossil fuels natural gas will be able to power solely keep sectors and become much more widely available. While this process of conversion begins to occur, we will be able to give even cheaper energy to the rest of the world that cannot afford the new renewable technologies during their industrialization. This way Natural Gas can be both a bridge fuel for the industrial countries now and then for developing countries in the future.

 

Weekly Recap

Why is Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) so important?

For starters, LNG is a key ingredient in making natural gas an internationally traded commodity, without this resource in use, the supply and demand for natural gas as a whole would dwindle. Not only that, but new developments have made the transportation of LNG across boarders easier and safer, which makes exporting and importing this resource more attractive.

In order to make LNG and other natural gas resources a globally traded commodity, countries with high reserves need to start exporting the natural gas to those countries with little to no reserves in natural gas.

For example, Russia has the largest number of natural gas reserves in the world; so much in fact that if they decided to export all of their reserves, they could power the entire world for several years alone.

On the other hand the United States has already taken steps towards becoming a net exporter of natural gas. There are plans to create a pipeline from the North Alaskan Coast inland. This project would not only provide many jobs for the unemployed, but also huge revenue for the state of Alaska. 2021 is the target year to have the pipeline fully up and running.

Now that natural gas is becoming a more popular use of energy, it would be a smart investment for countries to export their reserves into the global market. The use of natural gas has come a long way in the past couple years and it is projected to be the energy of the future.

This is from a 3-D animation tutorial of how the natural gas companies (Shell) turn natural gas into a liquid.

Natural Gas Pipelines and Baker Hughes

The natural gas industry uses natural gas pipelines to transport natural gas around the country. In the US alone there is a highly integrated transmission and distribution grid that can transport natural gas to and from nearly any location in the lower 48 states.

For natural gas to be able to be transported to almost any location in the lower 48 states there are 305,000 miles of interstate and intrastate pipelines that are needed. There are over 210 different natural gas pipeline systems that make up these 305,000 miles. 400 underground natural gas storage facilities store the natural gas, while there are more than 11,00 delivery points, 5,000 receipt points, 1,400 interconnection points, and 24 hubs or market centers that provide a way to get the natural gas to the consumers.

Pipelines are the best way to transport natural gas in this day and age, but there are several problems that these pipelines and pipeline companies can cause. To start with, under a federal law known as the natural gas act, companies have the right to exercise eminent domain so it can condemn private property for constructing and maintaining the pipeline. If the company chooses your private land as some of the land it wants to use all you can do is live with it or move away.

This doesn’t sound like a big problem to most people, but serious problems with the pipelines are that there is a constant risk of accidents, spills, and explosions. In the past few years, there have been many large pipeline failures that led to massive damage and even loss of live.

In September 2010, a natural gas pipeline explosion of San Bruno, California killed eight people. Once the National Transportation Safety Board had time to investigate the case they found “troubling revelations… about a company that exploited weakness in a lax system of oversight and government agencies that placed a blind trust in operators to the detriment of public safety.”

Luckily companies like Baker Hughes have created the GEOPIG high-resolution caliper in-line inspection service. These PIGs are intelligent robotic devices that are propelled down the pipelines to evaluate the interior of the pipeline. These PIGs can test pipe thickness, pipe roundness, check for signs of corrosion, detect minute leaks, and any other defects along the interior of the pipeline.

Although it is great that companies like Baker Hughes have created these PIGS that are making pipelines much safer, they have not solved all of the problems for the natural gas pipelines. It will be interesting to see how increase use of natural gas will affect these pipelines and the safety hazards that go along with them.

Natural Gas Pipelines by Region:

New Investment Opportunities In the Natural Gas Industry

Now that the U.S. economy has started to recover from its recent recession, many Americans are asking the same question: where is the safest and smartest place to invest their money? The natural gas boom currently in action is one of the most important trends affecting the American economy and it would be the smartest choice to invest in this new era of sustainable energy.

According to Forbes’ “Energy Forecast 2013-2014,” the outlook for energy in the next two years is surprisingly diverse. Oil and gas prices are expected to remain high while natural gas prices continue to fall increasing the gap between the two fuels to unprecedented levels.

Oil and gas prices are unreliable and unpredictable because it changes on a daily basis which makes it an unstable investment. For example, on February 11, 2013 it was reported that gas prices rose every day for 25 days straight, reaching a national average of $3.59 per gallon, the most expensive national average recorded on February 11. Within these two weeks, gas prices increased by 25 cents which was the biggest jump in prices in over a year. Even though gas prices constantly change future expectations remain high for its price level.

Oil prices are expected to remain high because of the limited supply and increase in demand. There is a limited supply of gas and its liquid derivatives in the world and this is why oil prices are constantly increasing. On the other hand, natural gas will continue to be cheap in the North American market because supply is greater than our demand. Although new drilling is declining, a well that has been drilled will continue to be productive long after prices have fallen. Operating costs are tiny in most cases, so natural gas will continue to move into the world market.

Here are some companies to keep an eye on for future investments.

Natural gas is replacing dirtier and more expensive sources of fuel like coal at a rapid peace, and this increases demand for transportation, storage and all kind of related services. That is why, Enterprise Products Partners (NYSE: EPD), a company that transports and processes natural gas, natural gas liquids, crude oil, refined products and petrochemicals, will have such a profitable future because the demand for transportation of natural gas is on the rise and will continue to be in high demand as the demand for natural gas increases.

The company is in the process of developing a new 270-mile pipeline header system that will deliver ethane to petrochemical plants in the Gulf Coast region, and it’s in the position of accumulating all of the benefits from the increase in demand of LNG. Being a natural monopoly, competition is not a big problem and, in addition to all this, investors in this master limited partnership are getting a 4.4% dividend yield.

Companies like Westport Innovations (NASDAQ: WPRT) and Clean Energy Fuels (NASDAQ: CLNE) have many things in common, to begin with: both companies are betting on LNG as a cheaper and more efficient fuel for vehicles. Westport is in the business of building engine conversion technologies, and it has partnerships with giant like Caterpillar and Cummins. Westport has been increasing sales rapidly over the last years, and gross margins are on the rise too.

Here is the bottom line, the natural gas industry has only just begun its first stages and will provide many opportunities for its investors over the next few years. If you are willing to take the risks and commit to long term investments, disruptive plays like Westport and Clean Energy Fuels can potentially deliver amazing returns if LNG continues to gain traction as the fuel of our future.

Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Export Controversies in the US

For the past 20 years, the US has been an importer of natural gas with an average of 15.7 percent of its annual consumption coming from Canada. However, the production of this resource in the US has risen over 25 percent since 2005, which comes primarily from the previously inaccessible shale deposits deep in the earth, and is expected to continue growing in the future.

Presently, the production of natural gas in the US is greater than its national consumption and is causing quite the controversy on whether or not the US should export the resource in the global market. A few years ago, liquefied natural gas (LNG) import terminals were constructed across North America in response to the country’s diminishing natural gas supplies. Today, due to the rise of production, major natural gas companies in the US are trying to convert these terminals into export terminals which will transport LNG overseas.

Cheniere Energy Inc., a natural gas company based out of Houston, TX, is the only company in the US with an approved LNG terminal. It was in January of 2012 when Cheniere Energy was given approval by the Department of Energy to export LNG through its Sabine Pass Liquefaction terminal in Cameron Parish, LA, which has the potential to ship up to 2 billion cubic feet of gas per day by the year 2015. The company also intends to open a new export terminal in Corpus Christi, TX by 2017 but will only see production if Cheniere gets the approval.

Chevron’s Gorgon project in Australia.

Other US natural gas companies, who are unable to export domestically, have turned to alternative plans by building exporting facilities on foreign soil (where there are little to no restrictions on natural gas production). For example, Chevron Corporation is one of the leading suppliers of LNG exports with its Wheatstone and Gorgon projects in Australia. The Gorgon Project is Australia’s largest single-resource project, with a 15 million-metric ton per-year LNG facility.

KBR Inc., another US company, is a leading LNG production facility developer, with already having constructed over 40% of LNG facilities around the world.

What is causing all the controversy over exporting LNG?

Industrial consumers of natural gas are worried the exportation of natural gas will increase oil and natural gas prices as well as their production costs.

Alliances are starting to form together and fight against the approval given by the Department of Energy for exporting natural gas. The alliances include utilities dependent on natural gas to fuel electricity generation, chemical companies that use it as a feedstock for making myriad industrial chemicals, and heavy industrial users such Alcoa and Nucor who use natural gas to fire their metal-making operations.

America’s Energy Advantage, a group backed by six large industrial companies including Dow Chemical, Huntsman, and Alcoa, believe tens of billions of dollars for potential investment in US industry are at risk if the government allows for the substantial increase in exported LNG. The group also argues an increase in exporting LNG will hurt the US economy by eliminating domestic jobs and increase natural gas prices.

Today the US price of natural gas is $3.27 per thousand cubic feet, compare this  price to those in the world market, you will see the Europeans pay upwards of $12 per thousand cubic feet and the Japanese pay more than $17. If the US were to start exporting, domestic natural gas prices will increase significantly.

It looks like right now the controversies surrounding natural gas production and exportation in the US will only get resolved if there can be an agreement on some sort of compromise otherwise the issue will never go away.

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